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Analysis · 23-24 August 2026by Yoni Golan

I pulled outbid.lol's public API. Here is what $175,438 in four days actually bought.

Four days ago a leaderboard appeared with one rule: your rank is whatever you paid. No ads, no algorithm, no accounts. By day four it had taken $175,438 from 1,097 listings. By day five, $221,058 from 1,578. It is still accelerating as I write this.

It is a genuinely clever piece of work and I want to say so plainly, because most of what follows sounds like criticism and is not meant as one. But outbid.lol publishes its whole database through a public API, including what every listing paid and how many clicks it received. That makes something possible which normally is not: you can check, precisely, whether people got what they paid for.

Seven buyers paid for half of it

23 Aug24 Aug
Listings1,0971,578
Total paid$175,438$221,058
Median bid$5$6
Paid $10 or less7581,014
Revenue from the top 752%43%

A mean many times the median is not a market. It is two populations sharing a page: a handful of whales, and a very long tail of five-dollar lottery tickets.

I measured twice, and the answer changed

Every listing reports its click count, so cost per click is simple arithmetic. I ran it on 23 August. Then, because something looked wrong, I ran it again exactly 24 hours later.

see.io, at #123 Aug24 Aug
Paid$15,000$17,000
Clicks5,30533,569
Cost per click$2.83$0.51
Median, whole board$1.91$0.67

The listing at the top did not get better at marketing overnight. It simply sat there another day. Its clicks went up 6.3x, its price went up 13%, and its cost per click fell by 82%.

Cost per click here is a function of how long a listing has been up, not of what it paid or where it ranks.

You can watch it work in any single snapshot. On 24 August the two worst deals on the board were its two newest arrivals: #2 paid $16,000 for $2.36 a click, and #8 paid $4,000 for $11.63 a click, while #1 above them was getting $0.51. Not because they ranked lower. Because they bought in later.

Why that is a problem, not a curiosity

Every ad product in the world sells you a quantity of exposure: impressions, clicks, a slot for a defined period. You know roughly what you are buying before you pay.

This board sells you a position, and exposure accrues to it afterward, for as long as nobody displaces you and the site keeps drawing a crowd. Neither is promised or knowable at the moment you pay. So a $16,000 bid might turn out to be $0.50 a click or $2.50 a click, and which one you get is decided by events after the transaction. That is not a price. It is a place in a queue whose length nobody has told you.

The rule that ends it

Bids are permanent. Nothing expires. Nothing is refunded.

So the top only ratchets upward. Day one it cost a few dollars. Day four it costs $15,005. Nobody arriving on day thirty outbids that, so the top freezes and the people who would have generated the next $15,000 quietly leave.

And there is no second sale. The seven whales have paid, and there is nothing to buy twice. outbid.lol has no accounts, so it has no email addresses, so it cannot even tell a buyer they have been outranked. A dollar auction gives you a spectacular first week. It does not give you a week eight.

What I would change: one rule

Reset the board monthly, and keep a permanent all-time record alongside it. Every dollar counts toward both at once. One payment, two effects, no second product.

The top unfreezesOn the 1st of each month the #1 spot costs $5 again. There is always an affordable summit.
Nothing you pay is lostYour all-time total is permanent. The monthly reset never touches it.

A note on the API

outbid.lol's public ranking endpoint returns each listing's payment-provider order ID and checkout ID alongside the public fields. Those are not secrets in the dangerous sense, but they are customer transaction identifiers exposed on an unauthenticated endpoint, and there is no reason for them to be in a public response.

I have published none of them here and I would suggest they be removed from the payload. The operator was notified privately before this went up. Every other number in this article is public information about a public leaderboard, and I have used only that.

Founding spot

Put your work on the board before it opens.

A founding spot locks your listing into the first month and marks it as founding on the Hall of Fame permanently. That mark cannot be bought later at any price.

Your listing is live the moment the board opens
A permanent founding mark on the Hall of Fame
If the board does not open, you get your $5 back. Stated plainly because you are paying for something that does not exist yet.
One founding spot$5
Claim a founding spot · $5
Founding spots taken0 of 100